France noticed plugin electrical autos take 24.4% of the auto market in November, with full electrics (BEVs) alone taking 15.2%. Conventional combustion-only petrol and diesel powertrains fell below 50% share for the primary time. General auto registrations in November stood at 133,960 items, up some 10% yr on yr. The most effective promoting BEV for the month was the Tesla Mannequin Y.
November’s mixed plugin share of 24.4% comprised 15.2% full battery electrics (BEVs), and 9.2% plugin hybrids. These evaluate with 13.5% BEV, and 10% PHEV, a yr in the past.
The mixed 24.4% plugin consequence matches the earlier report excessive of December 2021, although the BEV part has grown barely, from 14.6% then, to fifteen.2% now.
12 months up to now, the cumulative BEV share now stands at 13.0%, from 9.8% at this level final yr. BEV quantity has grown 28.2% YoY, with 178,134 items being delivered thus far in 2022. It will comfortably break the 200k mark by the top of the yr, up from 162k for full yr 2021.
Conventional combustion-only petrol and diesel powertrains lastly fell slightly below 50% of all the marketplace for the primary time, with 36.20% petrol, and 13.76% diesel. It will repeat in December, however may even see a short lived bounce again to only over 50% in early 2023. By H2 subsequent yr, below 50% ought to turn into the norm.
France’s Prime 10 BEVs
We now often get stable information on the month’s high 10 (or generally high 20) greatest promoting BEV fashions within the French market, courtesy of numerama.com. Tesla was again to robust type in November, with each the Mannequin Y, and Mannequin 3, registering over 2,800 items. The Dacia spring took third with 1,954 items.
This was the best month-to-month quantity YTD for the Mannequin Y, although not for the Mannequin 3 (3,822 items in March). The Mini Cooper additionally noticed it’s highest month-to-month volumes YTD, and gained sixth spot.
Simply outdoors the highest 10, the brand new MG4 continued to develop strongly, with 507 items (from 263 in October), and may be part of the highest 10 quickly.
We sadly don’t have sufficient depth of mannequin information to detect the preliminary modest roll-out volumes of recent BEVs, however we can report on them if-and-when they get to vital sufficient month-to-month volumes to make the highest 10, or high 20 sellers.
Let’s step again to assessment the 3-month time horizon:
Right here we see that — regardless of rating 4th for the month of November — the Renault Megane’s general month-to-month quantity consistency (since way back to June) but once more gave it the highest spot in the long run rankings. It has now held this title for the previous 4 months.
If Tesla make a big blow out with the Mannequin 3 in December, they might briefly displace the Megane. There’s even an outdoor probability the Peugeot 208 briefly attract entrance. Besides, the little Renault would certainly retake the lead by January or February.
Listed below are the important thing movers, in comparison with the earlier Might-to-August interval:
These fashions misplaced place:
How for much longer may the Renault Zoe seem in France’s high 10? It has already dropped to a low ebb in different European markets. The underlying platform has now been on sale for 10 years (preliminary deliveries had been December 2012).
The Zoe has had a very good run, being Europe’s general greatest promoting BEV as just lately as 2020, with 99,613 items (beating the Tesla Mannequin 3) that yr. Gross sales dropped to 72,562 in 2021. This yr seems set to see below 40,000 deliveries.
It’d appear to be a very good time for a Zoe II, based mostly on a more moderen know-how platform. Such a platform is already within the pipeline, within the type of the upcoming CMF-B EV structure, which can be used for the Renault 4 and Renault 5 autos.
As issues stand, nonetheless, the Zoe is outwardly set for a easy section out with out a direct alternative, and the aforementioned Renault 4 and 5 fashions aren’t due until 2025. In my opinion, it could be a pity to utterly abandon the Zoe nameplate, which helped pioneer Europe’s transition to EVs, and has already gained a considerable loyal following.
Outlook
France’s EV market continues to increase, albeit at a extra modest tempo than we noticed in 2020 and 2021. The general French auto market in November of ~134,000 items was nonetheless a great distance off from the pre-2020 seasonal norm of ~175,000 items.
The projected full yr quantity of the general auto market is barely 1,500k items, down from virtually 2,700k items in 2019.
Julien Billon, director common of AAA Knowledge instructed Auto Infos that “the uncertainties, each within the [auto industry supply chain], and within the buying energy of the French [consumers], proceed to weigh.”
In opposition to this background of plummeting auto volumes, even the present ~25% annual progress in quantity of BEVs will imply that plugins proceed to take a rising share of the shrinking general market.
What are your ideas on France’s auto market, and the transition to EVs? Please be part of within the dialogue within the remark part under.
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